Arsenal vs Everton Betting Odds, Preview & Tips – Tuesday, February 1st

January 31, 2011 | In: Articles

Arsenal v Everton Betting Tip & Odds: Well, even though they don’t always win quite as convincingly as they should Arsenal have to go as favourites, especially at home. It may be another long evening where they spend a lot of time trying to break down the defensive qualities that Everton will bring to the table. The outcome of this match will be all about whether Everton will buckle under the pressure. They have been bolstered by the return of Phil Jagielka, which makes a huge difference to them, and Arsenal have lost Nasri. Will it all peter out to a draw, or do the Gunners have enough creativity to edge this one? Best way to deal with this one is to look at an Asian Handicap market. The form Arsenal are in, it is tempting enough to go with an Arsenal -1.25 Asian Handicap for 21/20 at Bet365.

Arsenal to win: 4/9 at SkyBet
Draw: 7/2 at Bet365
Everton to win: 15/2 at Bet365

EPL Match Preview: With the thrills of the FA Cup passing on by from the weekend, it is back to some serious Premier League business on Tuesday. Arsenal will look to maintain their challenge near the top of the league, as they host Everton at the Emirates. The Gunners have been rocked with the news that one of their best players of the season, French star Samir Nasri will be missing for around three weeks with injury. Arsenal secured their place in the fifth round of the FA Cup with a home 2-1 win over Huddersfield on Sunday, and it will be back to the search for a vital three points as they look to hunt down Manchester United. Arsenal have been having a strong season, and have looked a far more balanced side away from home. They realistically haven’t had a better chance at winning the Premier League for years now, and although they will seriously miss the influence of Nasri, the strength that Arsene Wenger has in the depth of his squad, they should still continue to be a major threat. The Gunners are on a strong run of six unbeaten matches in the Premier League, winning four of those six. They are a big five points behind leaders United at the moment, and all that they can do is keep winning and hope for United to lose come their tougher matches against the other top four sides. For now, Arsenal will be enjoying this fixture, and they have a pretty good record against Everton, and when Arsenal are at home, you always have to look at them as a winners. They just play the kind of football that gets the job done wonderfully.

The Gunners average two points per game at home this season, and they will be the team which will dictate the run of play. They will control the lions share of the possession, they just have to pull Everton around as much as possible, and they will find a way through. They haven’t been firing quite on all cylinders as of late, but they have showed some mettle in grinding out results when they have needed to. They displayed just that very thing when they went to Goodison and beat Everton 2-1 back in November. They should be able to repeat the outcome at the Emirates, and you have to go back to the 1995/96 season to find the last time that Everton won away at Arsenal. It’s not a great record clearly, and that trend, that dominance should be continued. Let’s look at the stats for this one, and Arsenal have a 66% win record at home against Everton, and that is a huge marker in the head to heads. Everton have won just 17 times out of the 96 matches played between the two clubs in London. The total goals sees Arsenal having scored over twice as many as Everton in those home matches, and you would think that around a 2-1 victory for the Gunners would sound just about right in terms of quality, form and history. That score line has played into Arsenal’s favour in 18% of their home matches this season. One other noticeable trend to look at, is that Arsenal have won by a 3-0 score line in three of their last four league matches. Worth a look maybe? Everton probably won’t concede three goals though, as that has only happened twice this season to them.

Everton are simply looking for a bit more security in their season. They are finding it a real struggle to get out of the bottom half of the table, and the old problems of lacking firepower are still there. They couldn’t hold on to a lead against Chelsea in the FA Cup at home on the weekend, and that is pretty much indicative of their season. They have lacked the cutting edge to turn those one pointers into three. The Toffees have picked up just five wins all season, but they are the Premier League’s leading draw specialists, drawing twelve of their twenty three matches this season. There is always an air of resilience about David Moyes and Everton, and it is rare that they are going to give anyone an easy game. They have actually lost just six league matches all season which is the same amount as Chelsea have, up in fourth, and just one more than Arsenal. It has just been all of those draws, and they have a very poor forward line, and when you take leading scorer Tim Cahill out of the equation, Everton’s goal tally would be pretty poor. Cahill is top scorer with nine league goals, and the next guys in the Everton charts are on three. The overall tally is not good as it is, and it is tough to imagine them scoring two goals on the road, especially against Arsenal. One doesn’t really picture Everton outscoring Arsenal, especially not at the Emirates, and that should be a big influencing factor on your football betting for this one. Even though you expect hard matches from Everton, they have really struggled to keep clean sheets this season, and have only achieved that once in their last thirteen matches. We all know who potent Arsenal can be up front, so goals should be conceded by Everton, but Arsenal will have to work for them. The Toffees have drawn their last two Premier League matches, and that is probably the most they could hope for from this one. EVerton have a pretty poor record away against Arsenal, and it is hard to see that changing in this fixture. Everton have won just twice on the road this season, while Arsenal have won seven of their eleven league games at the Emirates. Yes, Arsenal have had some uncharacteristic slip ups at home this season, but Everton probably lack the punch to inflict another one upon the Gunners. There is a lot at stake for Arsenal at the moment, and they have to keep going and take advantage of all the home games which they can get. That probably means Everton will be leaving empty handed.

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Arsenal v Everton Premier League Betting Statistics

Last 5 Head to Head
Everton 1, Arsenal 2
Arsenal 2, Everton 2
Everton 1, Arsenal 6
Everton 1, Arsenal 1
Arsenal 3, Everton 1

Arsenal have an 64% win percentage at home in the league this season
Everton have a 17% win percentage away from home in the league this season

Arsenal are on a streak of 4 home games with no defeat
Everton are on a streak of 3 away games with no win

Arsenal have scored 25 goals, and conceded 11 at home
Everton have scored 13 and conceded 14 goals in their away matches

Arsenal average 2.3 goals per match at home this season
Everton average 1.1 goals per match away from home this season

Arsenal have scored the bulk of their goals in the 76-90 minute bracket
Everton have scored the majority of their goals in the 76-90 minute bracket

Arsenal have opened the scoring in 65% of their matches
Everton have scored first in 39% of their matches

Arsenal 2010/11 top scorer: Nasri, 9
Everton 2010/11 top scorer: Cahill, 9

Arsenal 2010/11 Season Form: P23 W14 D4 L5 GF48 GA22 Pts 46 (2nd)
Everton 2010/11 Season Form: P23 W5 D12 L6 GF27 GA29 Pts 27 (14th

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